This morning, October 30, 2014, the last Quinnipiac University poll concerning the Florida Governor’s race was released showing Libertarian Party of Florida candidate Adrian Wyllie at eight percent, Republican Rick Scott at 40 percent and Charlie Crist at 43 percent. There are still nine percent of Florida’s likely voters up for grabs as they are undecided and ten percent also said they could be swayed voting for another candidate. When polled excluding Wyllie, Crist still leads Scott with a three point lead. The poll did not include the names of the no party affiliation candidates, only those running under a political party.
With respect to independent voters, Wyllie does far better, garnering 16 percent of the vote total, Crist at 47 percent and Scott at 29 percent. As for “pulling votes” from either Crist or Scott, it is statistically benign because he is doing so equally from Scott and Crist. For those who have already voted, it is also a statistical dead heat between Crist and Scott. Wyllie’s eight percent is impressive considering the mainstream media has purposefully excluded him from the public’s eye and 81 percent of Floridians polled still do not know enough about him.
Among those who already have voted, Crist gets 40 percent to Scott’s 39 percent. When asked to Wyllie voters who they would vote if Wyllie was not in the race, the numbers favored Crist by a slight margin of three percent which is within the margin of error for this poll of 3.4 percent.
“Independent voters are often the difference in swing states like Florida, but the size of former Gov. Charlie Crist’s lead among them is truly remarkable,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Crist, who always has sought to portray himself as a pragmatist rather than an ideologue, seems to have sold that message to independents who historically have favored problem-solvers who are less politicaI,” Brown added. “It may turn out that Crist’s change from Republican to independent to Democrat branded him as the kind of less political politician with the most important voter group. If Crist can win independents by 20 points on Election Day, he will be difficult to beat. It would be a reasonable hypothesis that the candidates’ debates made a big difference in this race. Scott was ahead going into them and behind after them. It could be a coincidence, but it would be a pretty large coincidence. Crist has long been thought of as an excellent campaigner and he used those skills to his advantage.”
Just five days before Election Day, 90 percent of voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 10 percent say they might change their mind. Their mind is made up, say 91 percent of Crist voters, 92 percent of Scott supporters and 67 percent of Wyllie backers.